Independent Candidates, Campaign Spending and Electoral Performance in the Constitutional Convention Election in Chile in 2021
Keywords:
constitutional convention elections, party identification, personal vote, campaign spending, independent candidates, ChileAbstract
Although most candidates in democracies with institutionalized party systems are party militants, the cultivation of a personal vote and the declining partisanship contribute to the electoral success of candidates who are not party militants. Based on a theoretical discussion on the determinants of electoral success, we postulate hypotheses associated to party militancy and affiliation to party lists and the effect of campaign spending on electoral success. We use the case of the constitutional convention in Chile in 2021 where the registration requirements were the same for party militants and independents. This way, 790 of the 1 278 candidates were independents (61.8%). Among the 138 elected members in regular districts, 88 were independents (63.8%), although some ran on party lists. Being an independent in a list of independents had a positive effect. Campaign spending positively impacts the electoral success of independents and party militants.
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